July 2004

Compiled and written by
Gary Will

Issue 89 -- August 3, 2004
In this digest:

  1. Dalsa forecasts strong revenue growth after record quarter
  2. RDM sets all-time quarterly revenue record

  3. STOCK REPORT: A rough month for tech stocks
  4. Miscellaneous tidbits from EMJ, GBG, Golden Triangle Online, Covarity, Descartes, ClearFrame, Bannister Lake, Reqwireless, Sybase, RIM


Dalsa forecasts strong revenue growth after record quarter
July 29, 2004

Strong sales in its semiconductor business led Dalsa to revenue of $39.8 million in the quarter ended June 30 (Q2 04), in-line with the company's forecast of $39-41 million. It's the highest quarterly revenue the company has ever reported, but Dalsa doesn't expect the record will last long, as it is forecasting sales of $42-44 million in the current quarter and close to $50 million in Q4.

Dalsa now expects revenue for the fiscal year to fall in the $167-172 million range, an increase of about $10 million from its previous forecast.

Sales in Q2 were up 8% from the previous quarter and 22% from last year. All of the sequential gains came from Dalsa's semiconductor business, which saw revenue jump 35% from Q1. Semiconductors contributed 60% of the company's quarterly profit of $4.1 million ($0.24/share).

Digital imaging sales of $22.3 million were below expectations and down 7% from the previous quarter. Delays in start dates for application-specific contracts were blamed for the shortfall, along with inadequate supply of some raw materials.

While margins improved in the semiconductor business, overall gross margins were down from Q1, and the company's gross profits and net income were flat sequentially.

Operations generated $7.8 million in cash and have now provided $29 million over the last 12 months. Dalsa spent $3.3 million on property and capital assets, including $0.9 million to exercise an option on industrial land in Waterloo. Another $1.0 million was spent to increase Dalsa's stake in California-based Rad-icon Imaging Corp. from 59% to 77%. Dalsa ended the quarter with $8.8 million in cash, up $3.1 million from the end of Q1.

The company says it has signed a letter of intent with a Hollywood-based rental firm that will make Dalsa's Origin digital movie camera available to filmmakers. The camera is scheduled for commercial launch in November.

In June, construction began on a 12,000 sq ft addition to Dalsa's semiconductor facility in Quebec. It is scheduled to be finished by the spring and is expected to cost $6-7 million. Dalsa's Tucson office was closed in July (see March digest). Hugh Garvey, who oversaw operations in Arizona, has decided to leave the company. In March, Dalsa had announced that he was staying on as business development VP for image sensor products. Costs of closing the Tucson facility increased 11% from previous estimates to US$720,000 or a little under CDN$1 million.


RDM sets all-time quarterly revenue record
July 30, 2004

RDM also set new records -- as forecast -- in its quarter ended June 30 (Q3 04). The company reported sales of $5.4 million, up 21% from the previous quarter and 18% from a year ago. Net income of $405,000 ($0.02) was enough to erase the losses from the first six months of the year and give RDM year-to-date profits of $23,000.

All of the gains came from RDM's electronic payments segment, which logged breakthrough sales of $2.0 million, nearly tripling results from the previous quarter. Sales from RDM's other segments -- digital imaging and its traditional cheque quality assurance segment -- were down sequentially and year-over-year. There were delays in the development of RDM's Synergy payment terminal, which is now not expected to ship until late in the fiscal year. Because of the delays, RDM expects digital imaging revenue in the current quarter will be similar to Q3 levels.

Combined, electronic payments and digital imaging provided 90% of revenue in the quarter and net income of $286,000.

RDM ended the quarter with $4.6 million in cash, up $500,000 from the end of Q2. Operations provided $819,000 in cash and $332,000 was spent on capital assets.


STOCK REPORT: A rough month for tech stocks
July 2004

You know it's not a good month when the only gainers are two companies whose shares each went up by four cents. That's what Navtech and Descartes stock did in July. It was a rough month for software in general, as several companies across North America reported soft sales.

For the month of July:

Navtech [OTCBB: NAVH] +4%
Descartes [TSX: DSG] +3%
===============================
--S&P TSX COMPOSITE INDEX -1%
RDM [TSX: RC] -2%
--S&P TSX VENTURE INDEX -4%
RIM [TSX: RIM] -10%
Dalsa [TSX: DSA] -11%
Turbosonic [OTCBB: TSTA] -12%
ClearFrame [TSXV: CLF] -12%
Com Dev [TSX: CDV] -13%
Virtek [TSX: VRK] -18%
Open Text [TSX: OTC] -21%
MKS [TSX: MKX] -25%
ARISE [TSXV: APV] -40%
Newlook Industries [TSXV: NLI] -45%

The company didn't make any announcements in July, but MKS shares lost a quarter of their value and finished the month under $1 -- the first time that's happened since November 2002. MKS now trades at the lowest multiple of gross profits among all local companies tracked here.

Dalsa increased its sales and profit forecasts, but that didn't stop its stock from suffering its biggest one-month decline in over two years. Dalsa shares had set or matched all-time highs in each of the previous five months.

On paper, RIM investors lost a collective $2 billion in July, which may be the most painless $2 billion loss ever recorded (unless you bought in at the end of June). The company's market value now stands at a mere $15.4 billion.

ARISE shares fell to their lowest monthly close since the company's IPO a year ago, ending July two cents above their all-time low from November. Navtech stock traded above US$1 for the entire month -- the first time that's happened in years. On the other hand, Virtek shares finished the month under $1 for the first time this year.

Since I started listing Newlook/Onlinetel, its shares have fallen 22% in April, 18% in May, 28% in June, and now 45% in July. The amazing thing is, it's still the most overvalued stock listed here.

Companies with core operations outside the area:

Ansys [Nasdaq: ANSS] +1%
CheckFree [Nasdaq: CKFR] +0%
==================================
McAfee [NYSE: MFE] -1%
Agfa-Gevaert [Brussels: AGFA] -2%
Adobe [Nasdaq: ADBE] -9%
CVF Technologies [Amex: CNV] -13%
Senesco [Amex: SNT] -17%
Sybase [NYSE: SY] -19%
SBS Technologies [Nasdaq: SBSE] -20%
Siebel [Nasdaq: SEBL] -24%
LSI Logic [NYSE: LSI] -33%
Blue Coat [Nasdaq: BCSI] -45%

CVF, which is a shareholder in Biorem and SRE Controls, has been told that it no longer meets the listing requirements of the American Stock Exchange. It will get to plead its case before the Amex Listing Qualifications Panel in a few weeks, but could be quickly delisted after that meeting. CVF says it's looking at getting listed on a Canadian exchange.


Miscellaneous Tidbits